If women were the only people who voted for president, Barack Obama would be poised to re-take the White House next month with a higher margin of victory than he had in 2008.
If only men voted, Mitt Romney would have the possibility of issuing a crushing defeat along the lines of Ronald Reagan’s 1980 victory over Jimmy Carter.
That’s the outlook of a new analysis by electoral statistician Nate Silver of the New York Time’s FiveThirtyEight blog, looking at what some polls are showing as an unprecedented gender gap in this year’s race; as many as 33 percentage points separating men and women on their choice for president, with women for Obama and men for Romney.
WAMC’s Patrick Donges spoke with Bruce Gyory, a political consultant at Corning Place Communications in Albany and adjunct professor of political science at The University at Albany, for some insight into why the gender gap is so wide this year.
Part one of this interview aired on Oct. 22, 2012 on Northeast Report and part two on Northeast Report Late Edition the same day.